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DOLLAR BILL WINS

posted Saturday, 9 December 2006

WWL just called the election for Dollar Bill. It's not even close with 67% of the vote in: Dollar Bill has 59% of the vote. It boils down to the fact that we had two bad candidates running and many people voted none of the above by staying home. Dollar Bill also ran an infinitely superior campaign: he's getting 71% of the vote in Jefferson Parish, which makes 3rd place primary finisher Derrick Shepherd one of the biggest winners of the night. In fact, Shepherd is now the heir apparent for the seat.

Princess BOLD is finished as a Congressional candidate: if she couldn't beat Dollar Bill in this run-off, she won't beat anybody else. Her campaign was thematically weak and never gave voters a reason to vote FOR her. As I've said before, Carter is a daughter of political privilege who expected a social promotion to Congress. It didn't happen.

As a pundit, I feel vindicated. Jeffrey, Dambala and I are the only NOLA bloggers who thought from the beginning of the run-off that Dollar Bill had a good chance. As far as the MSM was concerned, Princess BOLD was a shoo-in. I'm also NOT surprised that West Bank voters voted in their local self-interest and didn't care what outsiders thought. This is how this community has *always* been. In the unflooded parts of the city post-K, neighborhood leaders have had a very hard time getting their people interested in anything that doesn't affect their own blocks. To quote or paraphrase Jeffrey: "All politics is local and New Orleans politics is local-er."

As a citizen, I'm not exactly thrilled. We can expect the predictable tirades against us for being stupid yahoos who collectively don't know their asses from holes in the ground. This time, the MyDD lefty types will join in the chorus of abuse. As Walter Cronkite would surely say at this point: And that's the way it is, Saturday, December 9th, 2006.

I'll have more on the race in the next few days, hell, maybe even later tonight. I'm very interested in seeing when and with what tone Princess BOLD concedes.

UPDATE: Carter looked a bit pouty but over all her speech was fairly gracious. I suspect that her camp’s internal polls showed that she had a chance of losing. Why? They never leaked any internal polls.

UPDATE TOO: Tim Tagaris at MyDD says that he saw internal Carter polls showing her with a 20% lead. They were either cooking the books or smoking crack, y'all.

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1. mominem left...
Saturday, 9 December 2006 11:27 pm :: http://fematrailer.blogspot.com

I think said I thought he had a good chance, but I'm not a political junkie.

This proves conclusively, if proof were needed, that The Greater New Orleans Political Class is arrogant, self interested and morally corrupt.


2. adrastos left...
Saturday, 9 December 2006 11:41 pm

Agreed on both points. I do recall you saying that in a comment here.


3. Dambala left...
Saturday, 9 December 2006 11:51 pm :: http://theamericanzombie.blogspot.com/

The Devil you know....

Let's hope we get an indictment on him now. I was thinking about this....let's say he's indicted and forced to resign...if we go to another election, I think the only person that could beat Carter is Oliver Thomas. Just a thunk.

And yeah, we are gonna get nailed by Crooks and Liars and DailyKOS, etc. Actually, I was a little put off they were sticking their fingers in this election in the first place.


4. bayoustjohndavid left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 1:01 am :: http://bayoustjohndavid.blogspot.com

Shepherd beat Carter hands down, if there's not a backlash against him. I don't know what makes Jefferson parish officials think that they have a right to both of the metro areas seats. I do, but I was making a rhetorical point. Anyway, Dambala, I doubt we'd get two BOLD candidates.

I hate to be a wet blanket, but I didn't think anybody saw the second most important reason -- the low turnout among white New Orleanians -- for the Jefferson win until the end. As a matter of fact Adrastos, during the primary you said you'd be a reluctant Carter voter if it came to that. I'm not surprised that Jefferson carried the Black New Orleans vote, but I don't think anybody would have predicted his win with a 20% turnout in black precincts. Once it became apparent that turnout would be at least that low in white New Orleans precincts, it was predictable.


5. GentillyGirl left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 3:17 am :: http://gentillygirl.com/

Well, my thoughts and hopes, along with those of my community, are freakin' dashed. How can spirit and hope for all even begin to begin to persevere against Xtian, raceist traditionalism and lies.

For those who voted for Jefferson, I have some predictions: The Lower Ninth and East New Orleans are fuckin' toast now. You won't have a Rep to fight for you, and you negated our efforts to fight for and with you. Why should we continue to fight for those who will not embrace new thought and change? (Even if small changes mean the survival of a culture.)

Our Public School system will CONTINUE to be nothing more than a daycare center instead of a learning institute. Your children will be doomed to either becoming murderers or murdurees. There is no way out until the Past failed thought processes are abandoned. (And many of the Jefferson voters are light-years from being able to accept this fact.)

I'm seriously considering selling out once the house is finished. We'll cut a profit, and we know nice places where all work together to create a new world. It won't be New Orleans, but New Orleans is proving to be a lost cause because of the reactionaries of the Past. This is not the city that me and mine came from.

I expected that post-Flood we were looking at a new world, but once again hopes are dashed. The racist fucks and their adherence to the "Past", with those of the b/s religious shits dreaming of their "Jezus has returned" future, have damned this wonderful city to death and dissolution.

My hands are washed of my Black ancestry... I will not stand for them ever again.

"So long, and thanks for all the fish". Only the non-Xtian, strange, innovative, thoughtful and Queer communities count with me now. The rest of you, my past relations, are on your own.

May your god help you.


6. Mark Folse left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 9:58 am :: http://wetbankguide.blogspot.com

We shoudn't let the predictable turn to a discussion of the "toleration of corruption" focus on Jefferson. Instead that spotlight should be squarely on Nagin, Harry Lee and everyone else who meddled toward Jefferson's re-election.

Its a sad fact that the GOP efforts to turn the black churchs into a wing of the Talibornagain vote failed for the GOP and succeeded in a black-on-black race. I fault Carter and the political establishment for that as much as Jefferson, however. Hell, I support most of her positions on those issues, but the idea of running in a district with a substantially footin Jefferson Parish or in the church-going black community gave Jefferson and opening he couldn't resist.

Since the fuckmoot GOP declined to indict him to give us the opportunity to do this to ourselves (and to think that didn't enter into the decision not to indict yet is naive), I hope whatever shreds of the decency or righteousness that leads one to become a procesutor drives them to do it now, quickly.


7. Mark Folse left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 10:27 am :: http://wetbankguide.blogspot.com

I just had to go over to Kos. Glutton for punishment and all that:

What's up, New Orleans? (7+ / 0-) Recommended by:Anthony Segredo, RickWn, qw3rty, TampaCPA, asskicking annie, ChesCo Dem, Randall Sherman Electing bumbling race-baiters (Nagin) and criminals is a succinct way of telling the rest of America: "Hey, go ahead and leave us for dead. We don't have what it takes to recover from Katrina."

What an incredible collection of morons in one city.

by daveweigel on Sat Dec 09, 2006 at 06:47:35 PM PST


8. jeffrey left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 10:45 am :: http://librarychronicles.blogspot.com/

And what collection of morons who hang around in Kos comment threads. I love this logic: Dollar Bill and C Ray are reelected therefore people don't "deserve" recompense for a federal disaster. It's no better than saying God sent the storm to punish Bourbon Street. Infantile fucks, all of them.

I disagree that the Justice dept intentionally left Jefferson unindicted in order to bring about this outcome. If they wanted to charge him in order to affect an election they would have gladly done so before the national vote in order to counter the Dem's anti-corruption plank. Personally I think they laid off because they know they don't have him. But we'll see how that pans out in the next act.


9. Jim left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 1:06 pm

Check out the story at mydd.com (below). And check the comments Schroeders site. There is still plenty of hope. The Bright side, I think Harry stuck his neck out too far on this one. Yes the country is watching. But why shouls that stop us from getting the truth out down here. I think the rest of the country is with us, not against us!


10. MAD left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 1:25 pm

Damn your accurate predicting, Adrastos. Carter's campaign structure was in place-all the right buttons were pushed by her volunteers- but the desultory candidate let them, and all of us, down. I had the impression that she was unsure if she wanted to win. Money was not the issue. She clearly lacked the fire in the belly, or the will to say about Jefferson what needed to be said.


11. chazbe left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 1:55 pm

The most unintentionally hilarious commentary comes from New York Times political blogger Sarah Wheaton, who says New Orleans’ “political elites” are chagrined by Jefferson’s win. What political elites is she thinking of? Presumably an elite has the money and power to get its way. That would mean that the true elite is Jefferson’s crowd—-his cronies, the many politicians who owe him favors, his opportunistic boosters, and his well-heeled supporters in the pastoral kleptocracy who continue to bamboozle New Orleans voters.


12. jim left...
Sunday, 10 December 2006 2:08 pm

New Orleans has always had a leadership deficit, even when white people controlled Orlans Parish. I'm white, and I've lived there two seperate times.

Part of the problem is racism and poverty, and part of it is an acceptance of corruption in order to survive and "get along." I'm not a Nagin supporter, but he stopped the process of procuring a business license where you had to always list a "silent partner' on your application, who then received either part of the "proft" or a "fee." This was standard practice for 50 years!

Where most cities would offer incentives for industry to locate there, New Orleans officials would demand a payoff before allowing them to come in. No Fortune 500 companies remain in Orleans Parish (maybe Shell still has something there.)

Read a description of the school system below, reaction to a book by Jonathan Kozol on segregated schools:

The Orleans Parish School system is an example. It has applied his theries for 30 years. The board is predominately black. With the exception of one Hispanic, all the superintendents have been black. Almost 100% of the teachers, administrators, and students are black. The test scores are the lowest in Louisiana. Armed guards at every school and sometimes in every classroom cannot stop the crimes, including murders and rape. At Fortier High School, the valedictorian failed the exit exam four times. The black power structure has looted more than $100 million from the system. These are the victims of Kozol's educational theories. You may have seen some of them at the Superdome and Convention Center after Hurricane Katrina. They were totally dependent on the government.


13. bayoustjohndavid left...
Monday, 11 December 2006 12:46 am :: http://bayoustjohndavid.blogspot.com

"I'm not a Nagin supporter, but he stopped the process of procuring a business license where you had to always list a "silent partner' on your application, who then received either part of the "proft" or a "fee." This was standard practice for 50 years!"

You've fallen for the hype Jim. There've been varying degrees of that under different administrations, but Nagin hasn't ended the practice. Since minority contracts are such a tricky subject, I want be careful what I say, but his executive orders designed to increase minority participation have shakedown written all over them. Especially the part about that Nagin appointee determining the required level.